Category Archives: Uncategorized

Why Winners Go Down: Economies, Firms, or States

I have spent much of my career wondering why winners go down.  Revolutions, of course, my main specialty, are the most spectacular case of winners going down.  The former rulers and dominant classes are overthrown and cast aside, much of … Continue reading

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As I was saying…

Just a few headlines from today to confirm yesterday’s message: “Jailed Al-Jazeera journalists convicted in Egypt. … In an interview on Al Jazeera shortly after the verdicts were read, Amnesty International director Steve Crawshaw deplored what he called an “outrageous … Continue reading

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Making healthy life easy (or not…)

There is a new disease stalking  the developed world.  Not ebola, or anti-biotic resistant tuberculosis, or MERS ( a new respiratory disease that emerged in Saudi Arabia).  They are bad enough.  This one is called NASH, and has an even … Continue reading

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Two weeks, dismay and horror

I have spent the last two weeks attending three conferences and various lectures in Russia and the UK, on issues including Public Policy, International Security, and using history to forecast and explain events. Sadly, it seems clear that neither public … Continue reading

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Completion

Apologies to all; had a slight crash and lost the last few lines of yesterday’s post. It appears in complete form below. Thanks for your patience!

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Busy week

Sorry it’s been a longer gap in this space than usual. I am — despite, or because of — the situation, I am flying to Moscow today. Plus it was a week of interesting events in New York. Updates coming … Continue reading

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Is China the new Number 1 Economy, and India Number 3?

According to new figures issued this week by the World Bank, estimating the Gross Domestic Product for countries across the world, the rankings of major economic powers are in for a shake-up. The new numbers show that China has nearly … Continue reading

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A Blast from the Past

On a recent flight from Geneva to Moscow, I noticed a familiar face in First Class (as I passed through on my way to the economy seats).  It was the Italian actress Sophia Loren, now 79 but still a commanding … Continue reading

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Can Innovations Save Us?

My last post dwelt, a bit gloomily, on the decline in the U.S. middle class compared to other countries around the world. But the U.S. has always pulled itself up by innovations, and people continue to come up with good … Continue reading

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A Prayer for Peace

Happy Easter and Happy Passover week to all my friends and followers. Please join me today in a much-needed prayer for peace. Whether for families that have lost loved ones to tragedies (as from the South Korean Ferry capsizing or … Continue reading

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