It now appears the previous post is already obsolete.  New reports indicate shelling in the city of Homs, in response to anti-Assad demonstrations that broke out in the wake of the cease fire.  Will have to watch closely during the day to see if a cease fire resumes or fails entirely…

The dyamic of the last few months appears to remain. Whenever Assad’s forces let up their assault, opposition forces gather in protest or to secure areas.  As one protestor indicated, there is no going back to peace with Assad — too many have been raped, tortured, or killed.  So no cease-fire is likely to be stable; opposition forces and demonstrators will use a cease-fire to show their rejection of Assad, and the government will move in to shut down such actions.