Monthly Archives: November 2012

The New Electorate

You will see lots of comments on the changing demography of the American electorate.  According to the Washington Post Obama bested Romney by 71%-27% among Hispanic voters, a margin that was crucial to his victories in the swing states of … Continue reading

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Obama wins — but will anything change?

The US election of 2012 was remarkable for its lack of surprises.  Obama won basically the same states he won in 2008.   His victory was based on overwhelming majorities among minorities and strong leads among women and the young, especially … Continue reading

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Decision Day?

Despite billions spent in campaigning (much like Coke vs. Pepsi) there is no indication of a fundamental change in the election prospects.  Obama remains likely to win re-election through the magic of the electoral college, which will give him a … Continue reading

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China and Russia on the same track again

It’s been a very busy two weeks of travel.  First, Russia. Politically, Russia has moved backwards.  During the last four years, the team of Vladimir Putin and Dmitry Medvedev offered hope for all.  The oligarchs and conservative siloviki (police and … Continue reading

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