Monthly Archives: June 2014

Why Winners Go Down: Economies, Firms, or States

I have spent much of my career wondering why winners go down.  Revolutions, of course, my main specialty, are the most spectacular case of winners going down.  The former rulers and dominant classes are overthrown and cast aside, much of … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 3 Comments

Should we vs. Can we?

My recent posts on staying out of Iraq have produced several interesting comments (click on the titles of the posts below then scroll down to see the comments and replies). Let me be clear — if I thought we could … Continue reading

Posted in The Middle East Revolts | Leave a comment

As I was saying…

Just a few headlines from today to confirm yesterday’s message: “Jailed Al-Jazeera journalists convicted in Egypt. … In an interview on Al Jazeera shortly after the verdicts were read, Amnesty International director Steve Crawshaw deplored what he called an “outrageous … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments

When it is vitally important to do nothing!

Disasters everywhere:  Syria is in flames, Iraq is collapsing, Afghanistan’s election is disputed with riots, Boko Haram is still unchecked in Nigeria, Libya is breaking up in slow motion, Buddhists (Buddhists!) are massacring Muslims in Sri Lanka, tanks and armored … Continue reading

Posted in The Middle East Revolts, U.S. Politics | Tagged , , , , , | 6 Comments

Making healthy life easy (or not…)

There is a new disease stalking  the developed world.  Not ebola, or anti-biotic resistant tuberculosis, or MERS ( a new respiratory disease that emerged in Saudi Arabia).  They are bad enough.  This one is called NASH, and has an even … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 3 Comments

Two weeks, dismay and horror

I have spent the last two weeks attending three conferences and various lectures in Russia and the UK, on issues including Public Policy, International Security, and using history to forecast and explain events. Sadly, it seems clear that neither public … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 8 Comments